Dr Anselm's Lotteryfun
FUN WITH THE UK LOTTO
Dr Anselm in Numberland
NUMBER STRATEGY
Tips And Statistics
How Does One choose numbers for the UK Lotto?
There are very
many ways to choose those elusive numbers.
Let's look at a few.
(REMEMBER
- statistically speaking, any six numbers are as LIKELY
to occur as any six
others.
So, choosing any six numbers is as "likely" as any
others!
Therefore, your criterion should be to choose numbers that
others
DON'T choose, so that when you DO win, you win more money!)
Now, if
you didn't understand that, please read it again!
In my experience, getting four correct numbers is very difficult
let alone getting five or six right!
Do you base your selections on birthdays, significant dates
in your life, etc?
So many folk use birthdates to make their selections, that
when
many numbers under 31 feature, (maximum days in month =31) the payout
drops.
For example, on 12th Jan and 1st April 2000, the highest number drawn
was under 31, and there were 9 and 10 jackpot winners, respectively.
This
compares with an average of 2-7 winners recently.
This trend is even more
marked in number 12 and under (no. of months in year)
And on 18th April 2001, the lowest number was 30.
Unsurprisingly, there were no Jackpot winners!
See Last 50 Draws
BUT- if you are happy with your Personal Numbers -
then
stick with them!
(Anselm has entered one line associated with family
birthdays since November 1995
and has done quite well with it - the
occasional tenner.)
There are some number combinations which are just TOO
popular,
and should be avoided.
For example, although there have never
been four consecutive numbers drawn
(bonus excluded)
there are so many
people still betting on 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 & 6 and
44, 45, 46, 47, 48 & 49
that if those
sequences ever surfaced, Camelot reckon
there would be some 5-10,000 Jackpot
winners!!!
Other too popular numbers are those ending in five
(and
multiples thereof, such as 10, 15, 20, 30, 35, 40
etc.)
and the "popular" numbers such as 01, 03, 07,
13, and 49.
In general, people seem to think that odd numbers are
"luckier" than even ones.
Also, there seems to be strong support for Prime
numbers (indivisible by anything
other than themselves and 1) - this was a
bit of a surprise to me.
The "Prime" prime appears to be 23
which is a Hot number.
Consecutives are pairs or triples drawn as main numbers.
(There have never been 4 or more consecutives - so far)
Many punters (Anselm included) find these of interest.
Pairs occur in just under half the draws, with two pairs happening
in about three draws in 50.
Triples (three consecutive main numbers) I count separately and
are rarer, occurring slightly less often than two pairs.
See Last 50 Draws
Many people find it useful to break the 49 numbers down
into
groups or sectors. One could make groups of 7, 8 or 10.
Anselm finds
it easiest to consider six groups - five containing 8 numbers
and one of 9.
So Anselm's groups are:
GroupI(1-8), GroupII(9-16), GroupIII(17-24),
GroupIV(25-32), GroupV(33-40) and
the final GroupVI(41-49) which has an
extra, ninth number.
Some groups outperform others, and it is very satisfying
to "Spot a Trend."
See Anselm's Method
Groups
Over the last 10 and 35 draws, these groups performed as
follows:
(compared to expected drawing of about 10 and 35)
Over last 10 Draws |
Over last 35 Draws | |
Group I (1-8) | 12 times | 38 times |
Group II (9-16) | 9 times | 27 times |
Group III (17-24) | 8 times | 29 times |
Group IV (25-32) | 10 times | 31 times |
Group V (33-40) | 10 times | 40 times |
Group VI (41-49) | 11 times | 45 times |
Updated after 17th May 2003
Whilst it is important to remember that ANY number is, statistically as
LIKELY to occur as any other number, yet looking at the frequency with
which all numbers are drawn shows surprising disparity.
For example, as at 3rd. November 2002, 25 & 31 &43 had been drawn
102 times, while 38 was the outright leader
with 113 "shows", 44 second with 108.
Anselm considers these numbers to be Hot
as are numbers which have figured prominently in the last
10 or 35 draws (short and medium terms)
while Underperformers include 21 & 13
with 73 and 70 appearances respectively (as Main Ball, remember.)
Those that perform well or poorly in the long term, but show the opposite
in the short term, are classed by Anselm as Due
(See Number-Crunching)
And Due Numbers take precedence, so that
if a Hot Number also has some Green
next to it, it becomes a Due Number.
So, should you stick with those that are appearing frequently or hope the
Underperformers make a comeback? Depends on your personality and beliefs.
Well, do you believe that wealth will one day level out and make us all
equally rich? (No, nor do I.)
Anselm's experience suggests that Hot will continue being Hot.
The equal split of 3:3 for Odds:Evens
occurred not once in the last 10 draws,
and a total of13 times over the last 50 draws.
The split 4:2 favoured Odds four times in the last 10
and 9 times in the last 50.
The spilt 2:4 favoured Evens twice in the last 10,
but 9 times in the last fifty.
The split 5:1 (in favour of Odds) was seen twice in the last 10 draws
and a total of 8 times in the last 50
The split 1:5 in favour of Evens happened
once in the last 10 draws
and a total of 5 times in the last 50 draws.
There was a 6:0 split in favour of Odds 206 draws ago.
while 3 draws ago saw a 0:6 split in favour of Evens
(for the first time in over 70 draws.)
The easiest (laziest?) way is to get the Camelot computer
to choose your
numbers for you with a "Lucky Dip." Up to 30% of entries
are
now made this way, and the Press (& Camelot) gleefully report the
Jackpot winners among
the Lucky Dippers. I think it's less satisfying than
choosing your own
numbers, but concede that for others it saves making
decisions.
But remember, the lucky dips are totally random, so if you opt
for
two lucky dips you COULD get two identical entries. Unlikely, sure,
but...
Most tipsters say avoid a number that has appaered in the
last draw.
Well, Anselm has become aware that is not true. Numbers appear
regularly in
successive draws, and especially when one introduces the concept of
"pertubation." This means that a number, or a number either side of it,
often features in successive draws.
Anselm uses this concept to choose "Anselm Numbers"
(see Number-Crunching)
Look at the chart of the last 35 draws on The Method Page
and see if that helps you predict which way the lines for
each number will go
in the next draw. Fascinating - if usually frustrating!
If selecting winners was that easy....
Many people seem to find adding the six numbers together
to give a
"score" interesting. I don't.
Nor do I find relevance in the position of numbers on the coupon,
other then to make more than four numbers aren't in the same column.
(Never been more than 4 in one column.)
DO stick with your numbers if you're happy with them.
If you aren't, consider choosing less popular ones, avoiding say
01, 03, 05, 07, 10, 13, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 49
DON'T choose more than 2 "Primes", but pairs are OK, triples
less likely and 4 consecutives are a no-no.
Consider making at least 3 of your picks over 31
and your lowest number more than 12.
Hot and Due numbers occur more commonly than
Underperformers - overall.
Try your predictive ability with The Anselm Method
and remember to allow for "Anselm Numbers".
But ABOVE ALL, please remember
It's Only Fun With Numbers!!
This website is totally independent, and has no connections
with Camelot, which runs the UK National Lottery.
(As if you hadn't guessed!)
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attempt is made to maintain the accuracy of the data on these pages,
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