Since its founding, South Korea's overriding external problem
has been North Korea, as the threat of renewed aggression has never been wholly
lifted. From time to time this theoretical threat has also been reinforced by
acts of terrorism by North Korea against South Korea. The most notorious cases
of such acts were the assassination of 16 prominent South Koreans, including
four members of South Korea's cabinet, by North Korean agents in Burma in October
1983 and the bombing by North Korean agents of a Korean Air passenger aircraft
in September 1987, which killed all 115 people on board. More recently there
have been several instances of violations of South Korean territory by North
Korean submarines, fishing boats and surface vessels.
Military forces in the region, 2001/02 |
|
South Korea |
North Korea |
Japan |
China |
Russia |
Army
Personnel
Main battle tanks |
560,000
2,330 |
950,000
3,500 |
148,700
1,050 |
1,600,000
8,000 |
321,000
21,820 |
Navy
Personnel
Frigates
Submarines |
60,000
9
19 |
46,000
3
26 |
44,200
12
16 |
250,000
41
69 |
171,500
10
56 |
Air force
Personnel
Combat aircraft |
63,000
555 |
86,000
621 |
45,400
297 |
420,000
2,900 |
184,600
27,636 |
|
Source: International Institute for Strategic Studies,
The Military Balance 2001/2002. |
The Korean Peninsula is one of the most heavily militarized areas in the world.
North Korea's armed forces are positioned forward for a blitzkrieg attack on
South Korea, while South Korean forces are deployed in order to repel them.
South Korea's capital, Seoul, in which around one-quarter of the population
lives and which the North has threatened to turn into a "sea of flames" is particularly
vulnerable, being so close to the DMZ; military experts suggest that it would
take Northern bombers less than three minutes to reach the center of Seoul,
from the DMZ. As long as an aggressive communist regime survives in North Korea
this is likely to remain the case, although limited economic exchanges and continuing
diplomatic co-existence, particularly since the mid-2000 inter-Korean summit,
should help reduce tension.
Although South Korea has been spending less than 3% of GNP on defense, it has
been closing the military gap. North Korea spends up to 25% of its much smaller
GNP on defence. Although North Korea's quantitative lead in numbers of troops,
tanks, submarines and aircraft remains a worry, this is balanced now by South
Korea's qualitative lead. There is also concern, however, over North Korea's
development of missiles and suspected stockpiles of chemical and biological
weapons, as well as lingering doubts about its nuclear program. Concerns over
the latter came to a head in early 1994 when North Korea resisted inspections
of its nuclear sites by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and reneged
on its obligations under the nuclear non-proliferation treaty. The crisis culminated
in the October 1994 Agreed Framework, under which North Korea would receive
two light-water reactors from the West in return for freezing its nuclear program.
Despite the agreement, concerns were unabated, about Pyongyang's nuclear ambitions.
In October 2002, North Korea admitted that it had carried on its nuclear arms
development programs and expelled IAEA monitors from its nuclear project sites
in Yeongbyeon, creating new tensions. International pressures mounted to make
North Korea to abandon its nuclear programs in exchange for economic aid.
The world community now sees South Korea as a country blessed with democracy
and marked degree of freedom. Korea is to enhance its maturing political system
with an equal eye toward liberalizing the economy. The Republic of Korea endeavors
to develop diplomatic policies that will help win international support for
its security posture and for the peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula.
The Republic has, over the years, maintained and strengthened security cooperation
with the United States designed to sustain a credible military deterrent. South
Korea's new ties with China and Russia, the North's former military allies,
have triggered vast changes in the international arena. China and Russia no
longer automatically support North Korea's positions.
The Republic of Korea has increased its national defense capability by emphasizing
self-reliance. This increased military strength, coupled with the stationing
of U.S. military forces in the South, has helped to diminish the threat of a
North Korean military provocation. |